The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future
| Author | : | |
| Rating | : | 4.78 (612 Votes) |
| Asin | : | B002QX7SHM |
| Format Type | : | |
| Number of Pages | : | 111 Pages |
| Publish Date | : | 2013-10-02 |
| Language | : | English |
DESCRIPTION:
His forecasts, which have been employed by everyone from the CIA to major business firms, have an amazing 90 percent accuracy rate, and in this dazzling and revelatory book he shares his startling methods and lets you play along in a range of high-stakes negotiations and conflicts.Revealing the origins of game theory and the advances made by John Nash, the Nobel Prize-winning scientist perhaps best known from A Beautiful Mind, Bueno de Mesquita details the controversial and cold-eyed system of calculation that he has since created, one that allows individuals to think strategically about what their opponents want, how much they want it, and how they might react to every move. From there, Bueno de Mesquita games such even
A few good ideas, but the amount of self promotion is distracting and annoying It's hard to fully regret reading a book. Hey even if it sucks, you still got SOMETHING out of it, no matter how small, right?This is sort of how I feel after reading The Predictioneer's Game. The author has a few good ideas here and there, but I don't think it's real. gerryjj said Some people like it a lot. The reviews by Brown, McDonald and Bertolo are spot on.It is entertaining but you won't become knowledgeable in game theory or an expert predictioner from reading it. The book leaves a lot to be desired. It doesn't properly explain game theory or how to deal with unce. "I had to use "Game Theory" for a semester long" according to Scott Chapman. I had to use "Game Theory" for a semester long paper where I had to write 15 page sections and a presentation every 2 weeks in my "Comparative Politics" class. At the end of the semester when I gave my last presentation, I had to admitt that some of my initial hypothe
It can help you in your own life, whether you want to succeed in a lawsuit (lawyers argue too much the merits of the case and question too little the motives of their opponents), elect the CEO of your company (change the system of voting on your board to be more advantageous to your candidate), or even buy a car (start by knowing exactly what you want, call every dealer in a fifty-mile radius, and negotiate only over the phone).Savvy, provocative, and shockingly effective, The Predictioneer’s Game will change how you understand the world and manage your future. Life’s a game, and how you play is whether you win or lose.From the Hardcover edition.. From there, Bueno de Mesquita games such events as the North Korean disarmament talks and the Middle East peace process and recalls, among other cases, how he correctly predicted whi